Rudes 1-0 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudes EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 22%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.40/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.19
-10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudes
1W-2D-2L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.08.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 2-0 HT 1-0 Rudes Rudes HIR2
29.04.2018 Rudes Rudes 3-2 HT 1-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR
14.03.2018 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 1-1 HT 0-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
29.10.2017 Rudes Rudes 1-1 HT 0-1 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR
13.08.2017 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 3-0 HT 1-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudes
1-0
AWAY HNK Cibalia
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rudes vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rudes nicked a narrow win over HNK Cibalia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rudes as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rudes had 53% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 47%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, HNK Cibalia led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rudes and 1.80 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Rudes vs HNK Cibalia?

Rudes 1-0 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudes vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rudes win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rudes 48%, draw 25%, HNK Cibalia 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rudes), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rudes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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