Puntarenas FC 1-0 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.0pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.0pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puntarenas FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.61/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.41
-6% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puntarenas FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
03.08.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
22.04.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-1 HT 2-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
18.02.2024 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
01.10.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-1 HT 0-1 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
30.07.2023 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
19.03.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-0 HT 0-0 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puntarenas FC
1-0
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Puntarenas FC vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puntarenas FC nicked a narrow win over Santos de Guapiles 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Puntarenas FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Puntarenas FC had 50% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 50%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos de Guapiles led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Puntarenas FC and 1.00 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of Puntarenas FC vs Santos de Guapiles?

Puntarenas FC 1-0 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puntarenas FC vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puntarenas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Puntarenas FC 39%, draw 34%, Santos de Guapiles 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puntarenas FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Puntarenas FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KOSTA More Costa Rica - Premier League
26 Oct 2024
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