TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
53%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.2pp
53%
Away Win
61%
-8.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 66%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.59
-100% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.08.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 HT 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LITA
02.06.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 1-3 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
10.04.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 HT 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
0-1
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius edged past TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 49% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 51%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 2.33 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 20%, draw 27%, Zalgiris Vilnius 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →