Ilirija 1-3 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 26 Oct 2024

Ilirija
1-3
Gorica
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Slovenia - 2.SNL – 2024/2025

Ilirija vs Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.9pp
55%
Away Win
61%
-6.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.7pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ilirija v Gorica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilirija EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 66%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
0.82/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.61/0.64
-8% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +27%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3

Ilirija vs Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilirija
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gorica
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Gorica Gorica 4-1 HT 3-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
20.09.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 0-4 HT 0-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
13.03.2022 Gorica Gorica 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
POST-MATCH Ilirija vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica saw off Ilirija 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gorica as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gorica led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ilirija and 2.67 for Gorica.

What was the final score of Ilirija vs Gorica?

Ilirija 1-3 Gorica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilirija vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ilirija 18%, draw 27%, Gorica 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gorica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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