Tolmin 1-0 Triglav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
25%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
24%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tolmin EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Triglav EU Bookmakers 56%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.26/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/0.62
+14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +69%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tolmin
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Triglav
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.03.2024 Triglav Triglav 2-0 HT 2-0 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
19.08.2023 Tolmin Tolmin 0-4 HT 0-2 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
POST-MATCH Tolmin vs Triglav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tolmin edged past Triglav 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Triglav at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Triglav led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Tolmin and 3.00 for Triglav.

What was the final score of Tolmin vs Triglav?

Tolmin 1-0 Triglav in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tolmin vs Triglav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tolmin 20%, draw 29%, Triglav 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Triglav) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN2 More Slovenia - 2.SNL
26 Oct 2024
00:00 Ilirija vs Gorica Analysis →
16:00 Bilje vs NS Drava Analysis →