Chengdu Rongcheng II 4-2 Changchun Xidu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.29
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
73%
-3.3pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.4pp
12%
Away Win
9%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Rongcheng II EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun Xidu EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +37%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
Crosses 7.4
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Rongcheng II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Changchun Xidu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
277 Passes 205
73% Pass Accuracy 63%
31 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 5
21.09.2025 Changchun Xidu 1-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Rongcheng II Chengdu Rongcheng II ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Rongcheng II
4-2
AWAY Changchun Xidu
3.38 xG 0.45
64% Ball Possession 36%
29 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
343 Passes 146
82% Pass Accuracy 61%
36 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chengdu Rongcheng II vs Changchun Xidu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Rongcheng II beat Changchun Xidu 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chengdu Rongcheng II as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chengdu Rongcheng II had 64% of the ball to Changchun Xidu's 36%, shots finished 29-8, expected goals 3.38 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Chengdu Rongcheng II vs Changchun Xidu?

Chengdu Rongcheng II 4-2 Changchun Xidu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Rongcheng II vs Changchun Xidu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Rongcheng II win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Rongcheng II 70%, draw 18%, Changchun Xidu 12%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Rongcheng II) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Rongcheng II) ✗ BTTS No
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