Guangxi Baoyun 0-2 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
47%
2.09
2-3 Goals
32%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
5.39
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.09 — our 47% vs market 39.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.7pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
0.74/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.13
-6% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
13.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
15.8 Crosses 13.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Yanbian Longding
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.77 xG 0.84
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
250 Passes 322
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.06.2025 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-0 HT 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
12.10.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 3-2 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
01.06.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-4 HT 2-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
15.10.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-2 HT 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
28.06.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-1 HT 1-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Baoyun
0-2
AWAY Yanbian Longding
0.26 xG 2.85
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
145 Passes 291
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guangxi Baoyun vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding saw off Guangxi Baoyun 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Guangxi Baoyun at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Guangxi Baoyun had 38% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 62%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.26 to 2.85.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Guangxi Baoyun and 1.60 for Yanbian Longding.

What was the final score of Guangxi Baoyun vs Yanbian Longding?

Guangxi Baoyun 0-2 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Baoyun vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Baoyun 42%, draw 27%, Yanbian Longding 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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