Xerez 1-0 Deportiva Minera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.09
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+5.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.9pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportiva Minera EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
0.90/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.33
-31% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xerez
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportiva Minera
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Xerez Xerez 3-2 HT 1-0 Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera İS4
17.11.2024 Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera 1-1 HT 0-0 Xerez Xerez İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez
1-0
AWAY Deportiva Minera
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Xerez vs Deportiva Minera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez edged past Deportiva Minera 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Xerez as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Xerez had 56% of the ball to Deportiva Minera's 44%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Xerez had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Xerez and 1.50 for Deportiva Minera.

What was the final score of Xerez vs Deportiva Minera?

Xerez 1-0 Deportiva Minera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez vs Deportiva Minera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Xerez 50%, draw 26%, Deportiva Minera 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xerez) ✓ Under 2.5
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