Xerez 3-2 Deportiva Minera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+10.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.4pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportiva Minera EU Bookmakers 21%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.67/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.24
-57% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xerez
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportiva Minera
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.11.2024 Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera 1-1 HT 0-0 Xerez Xerez İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez
3-2
AWAY Deportiva Minera
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Xerez vs Deportiva Minera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez nicked a narrow win over Deportiva Minera 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Xerez as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Xerez had 51% of the ball to Deportiva Minera's 49%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Xerez vs Deportiva Minera?

Xerez 3-2 Deportiva Minera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez vs Deportiva Minera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Xerez 45%, draw 26%, Deportiva Minera 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xerez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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