La Union Atletico 1-1 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.9pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.6pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +4%
0.94/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.76
-22% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
259 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Union Atletico
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Estepona
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
17.11.2024 Estepona Estepona 0-1 HT 0-0 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico İS4
16.12.2023 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 0-1 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Union Atletico
1-1
AWAY Estepona
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico and Estepona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, La Union Atletico had 46% of the ball to Estepona's 54%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for La Union Atletico and 0.50 for Estepona.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs Estepona?

La Union Atletico 1-1 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Union Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 37%, draw 31%, Estepona 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (La Union Atletico), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Union Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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