Villanovense 1-2 Orihuela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.1pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villanovense EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Orihuela EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.79/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.96
-25% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villanovense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Orihuela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
3 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
16.11.2024 Orihuela Orihuela 4-1 HT 2-0 Villanovense Villanovense İS4
POST-MATCH Villanovense vs Orihuela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orihuela squeezed past Villanovense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Orihuela made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Villanovense vs Orihuela?

Villanovense 1-2 Orihuela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villanovense vs Orihuela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villanovense win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Villanovense 35%, draw 29%, Orihuela 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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