Orihuela 4-1 Villanovense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.7pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orihuela EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Villanovense EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.27/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.97
-9% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orihuela
4-1
AWAY Villanovense
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orihuela vs Villanovense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orihuela cruised past Villanovense 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Orihuela as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orihuela had 46% of the ball to Villanovense's 54%, shots finished 11-3.

What was the final score of Orihuela vs Villanovense?

Orihuela 4-1 Villanovense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orihuela vs Villanovense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orihuela win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Orihuela 46%, draw 27%, Villanovense 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orihuela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orihuela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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