CD Coria 2-2 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Coria EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 28%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -17%
1.55/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.17
+20% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Coria
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Melilla
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
17.11.2024 Melilla Melilla 1-2 HT 1-0 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
08.04.2023 Melilla Melilla 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Coria CD Coria İS4
27.11.2022 CD Coria CD Coria 1-1 HT 0-1 Melilla Melilla İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Coria
2-2
AWAY Melilla
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CD Coria vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Coria and Melilla couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Coria had 53% of the ball to Melilla's 47%, shots finished 21-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Coria and 1.33 for Melilla.

What was the final score of CD Coria vs Melilla?

CD Coria 2-2 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Coria vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Coria win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CD Coria 40%, draw 28%, Melilla 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Coria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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