Cornella 4-2 Pena Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒12:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cornella EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
1.21/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.91
-6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cornella
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pena Deportiva
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2024 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 4-1 HT 2-0 Cornella Cornella İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cornella
4-2
AWAY Pena Deportiva
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cornella vs Pena Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cornella beat Pena Deportiva 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cornella found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cornella had 46% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 54%, shots finished 8-5.

What was the final score of Cornella vs Pena Deportiva?

Cornella 4-2 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cornella vs Pena Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cornella win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cornella 38%, draw 29%, Pena Deportiva 33%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cornella) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cornella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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