Pena Deportiva 4-1 Cornella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cornella EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.27/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.51
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +135%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pena Deportiva
4-1
AWAY Cornella
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pena Deportiva vs Cornella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pena Deportiva ran out comfortable winners over Cornella 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Pena Deportiva found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pena Deportiva had 53% of the ball to Cornella's 47%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Pena Deportiva vs Cornella?

Pena Deportiva 4-1 Cornella in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pena Deportiva vs Cornella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pena Deportiva win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pena Deportiva 39%, draw 31%, Cornella 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pena Deportiva) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pena Deportiva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
17 Nov 2024
00:00 Europa vs Sant Andreu Analysis →
13:00 SS Reyes vs Union Sur Yaiza Analysis →
13:30 Melilla vs CD Coria Analysis →
14:00 Atlético Paso vs Navalcarnero Analysis →
14:00 Mostoles vs Tenerife II Analysis →
14:00 CD Guadalajara vs Illescas Analysis →