Estepona 0-1 La Union Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.1pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.34/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.38
+4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 193 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
1W-0D-0L
AWAY La Union Atletico
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
16.12.2023 La Union Atletico La Union Atletico 0-1 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
0-1
AWAY La Union Atletico
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estepona vs La Union Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico nicked a narrow win over Estepona 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Estepona at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Estepona had 61% of the ball to La Union Atletico's 39%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Estepona vs La Union Atletico?

Estepona 0-1 La Union Atletico in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs La Union Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estepona 41%, draw 28%, La Union Atletico 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estepona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estepona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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