Tenerife II 2-1 Mostoles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-11.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostoles EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.61/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.85
+5% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mostoles
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
17.11.2024 Mostoles 0-1 HT 0-0 Tenerife II Tenerife II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife II
2-1
AWAY Mostoles
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tenerife II vs Mostoles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife II nicked a narrow win over Mostoles 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tenerife II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Tenerife II had 50% of the ball to Mostoles's 50%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Tenerife II vs Mostoles?

Tenerife II 2-1 Mostoles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife II vs Mostoles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tenerife II 42%, draw 27%, Mostoles 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tenerife II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tenerife II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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