Fiorentina U20 2-2 Atalanta U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta U20 EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.29/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.28
+41% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Atalanta U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 17
11 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.02.2025 Atalanta U20 Atalanta U20 1-2 HT 0-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
19.12.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 0-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta U20 Atalanta U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Atalanta U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 and Atalanta U20 shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fiorentina U20 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fiorentina U20 and 0.50 for Atalanta U20.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Atalanta U20?

Fiorentina U20 2-2 Atalanta U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Atalanta U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 40%, draw 24%, Atalanta U20 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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