Genoa U20 1-1 Lecce U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecce U20 EU Bookmakers 34%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.97/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.99
-42% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa U20
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lecce U20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2025 Lecce U20 Lecce U20 0-2 HT 0-2 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 İTAPŞ1
14.12.2024 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 2-1 HT 2-0 Lecce U20 Lecce U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Genoa U20 vs Lecce U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa U20 and Lecce U20 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Genoa U20 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Genoa U20 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Genoa U20 and 0.50 for Lecce U20.

What was the final score of Genoa U20 vs Lecce U20?

Genoa U20 1-1 Lecce U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa U20 vs Lecce U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Genoa U20 42%, draw 25%, Lecce U20 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genoa U20), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genoa U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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