CSKA Sofia 5-1 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.28
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
74%
-1.8pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.6pp
10%
Away Win
9%
+1.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.6pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 11%
-18% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +14%
1.76/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.55
-14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +24%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
445 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
4W-0D-0L
AWAY PFC Beroe
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2025 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-3 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
08.03.2025 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
21.09.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
02.09.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-3 HT 0-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
5-1
AWAY PFC Beroe
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia cruised past PFC Beroe 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 60% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 40%, shots finished 22-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.00 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

CSKA Sofia 5-1 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 72%, draw 18%, PFC Beroe 10%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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