Once Caldas vs Union Magdalena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Once Caldas v Union Magdalena — Team-Based Signals
Once Caldas vs Union Magdalena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Once Caldas
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Union Magdalena
KOL
2-2
HT 1-0
Once Caldas
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Union Magdalena
KOL
3-1
HT 2-0
Union Magdalena
KOL
Once Caldas 1-0 Union Magdalena — Actual Match Statistics
Once Caldas squeezed past Union Magdalena 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Once Caldas had 53% of the ball to Union Magdalena's 47%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.29 to 1.43.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Once Caldas and 1.00 for Union Magdalena.
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Union Magdalena?
Once Caldas 1-0 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Primera on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Union Magdalena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 56%, draw 26%, Union Magdalena 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.