Santa Fe 0-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
34%
+10.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.12/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.04
+4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 80%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
15.8 Crosses 13.3
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Millonarios
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.67 xG 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
218 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
07.09.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
20.06.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 1-2 HT 0-2 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
02.06.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
27.03.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
23.03.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-2 HT 2-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
06.12.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
0-1
AWAY Millonarios
0.94 xG 1.16
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
367 Passes 258
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios edged past Santa Fe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Fe at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Fe had 56% of the ball to Millonarios's 44%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 0.94 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Fe and 1.17 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

Santa Fe 0-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 44%, draw 26%, Millonarios 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ BTTS Yes
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