Millonarios 1-2 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 20 Jun 2025

📅20/06/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +24%
1.07/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.12
+14% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
17.0 Crosses 15.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.08 xG 0.63
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
251 Passes 279
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.06.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
27.03.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
23.03.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-2 HT 2-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
06.12.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
27.11.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
27.10.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
1-2
AWAY Santa Fe
1.55 xG 0.51
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
362 Passes 132
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over Millonarios 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Millonarios at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Millonarios had 68% of the ball to Santa Fe's 32%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.55 to 0.51 — on chances, Millonarios could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Millonarios and 0.67 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Santa Fe?

Millonarios 1-2 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 20/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 41%, draw 29%, Santa Fe 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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