America de Cali 1-1 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 20 Jun 2025

📅20/06/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.43/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.26
+6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
17.0 Crosses 11.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
289 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.06.2025 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
26.05.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
15.10.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
01.04.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-4 HT 1-3 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.12.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 2-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
13.11.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-2 HT 1-2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-1
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.23 xG 1.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
391 Passes 357
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali and Independiente Medellin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was America de Cali at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, America de Cali had 52% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 48%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.23 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for America de Cali and 1.00 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin?

America de Cali 1-1 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 20/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 47%, draw 29%, Independiente Medellin 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (America de Cali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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