America de Cali 2-0 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.29
Draw
27%
2.77
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.29
No
71%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
28%
+11.1pp
27%
Draw
33%
-6.2pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.9pp
29%
BTTS Yes
40%
-10.5pp
71%
BTTS No
60%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 43%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.15/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.24
+30% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
17.2 Crosses 13.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
315 Passes 268
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.10.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
01.04.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-4 HT 1-3 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.12.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 2-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
13.11.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-2 HT 1-2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
14.08.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-3 HT 0-2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
13.06.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
2-0
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.10 xG 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
283 Passes 250
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali got the better of Independiente Medellin 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; America de Cali found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (71%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, America de Cali had 52% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 48%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.10 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for America de Cali and 1.33 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin?

America de Cali 2-0 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 39%, draw 27%, Independiente Medellin 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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