Deportes Tolima vs Aguilas Doradas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Aguilas Doradas — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Aguilas Doradas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
0-4
HT 0-2
Deportes Tolima
KOL
4-2
HT 3-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
1-2
HT 0-1
Deportes Tolima
KOL
Deportes Tolima 1-2 Aguilas Doradas — Actual Match Statistics
Aguilas Doradas edged past Deportes Tolima 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 57% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 43%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.24 to 1.23.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.17 for Aguilas Doradas.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Aguilas Doradas?
Deportes Tolima 1-2 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Aguilas Doradas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 48%, draw 30%, Aguilas Doradas 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.