Alianza Petrolera 6-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.78
Over 2.5
39%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.1pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +19%
1.40/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.10
-12% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.7 Crosses 15.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.28 xG 1.06
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
226 Passes 316
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
04.03.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
18.09.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
10.04.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 3-1 HT 3-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
11.10.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 4-0 HT 2-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
16.04.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
6-1
AWAY Santa Fe
1.64 xG 0.53
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
286 Passes 195
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera swept aside Santa Fe 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Petrolera as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 55% of the ball to Santa Fe's 45%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.64 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 0.67 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Santa Fe?

Alianza Petrolera 6-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 43%, draw 28%, Santa Fe 29%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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