Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.7pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.05/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.10
+2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +77%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
15.3 Crosses 13.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.52 xG 0.77
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
298 Passes 239
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOLK
18.10.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLK
24.08.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
20.02.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
22.09.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
14.04.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
1.31 xG 0.71
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
417 Passes 227
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga squeezed past Deportivo Pasto 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 62% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 38%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.31 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.83 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?

Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 41%, draw 31%, Deportivo Pasto 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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