Once Caldas 1-0 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-10.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.8pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 19%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +6%
1.33/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.28
-30% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
24.4 Crosses 13.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.60 xG 0.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
267 Passes 296
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.09.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 4-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
02.03.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
30.07.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
05.02.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
18.10.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
01.05.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Cali
0.91 xG 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
357 Passes 316
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Cali 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Once Caldas had 53% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 47%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 0.91 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Once Caldas and 0.50 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali?

Once Caldas 1-0 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 50%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cali 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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