Millonarios 4-2 Boyaca Chico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 May 2025

📅26/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.22
Draw
26%
5.28
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
78%
-16.9pp
26%
Draw
16%
+10.3pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
34%
+3.1pp
63%
BTTS No
66%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.49/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.31
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -23%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
364 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.3
21.3 Crosses 10.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Boyaca Chico
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.60 xG 0.81
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
321 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.04.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 3-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
26.10.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
12.06.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 2-1 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
28.05.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
14.05.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
05.03.2021 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-1 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
4-2
AWAY Boyaca Chico
2.65 xG 1.05
73% Ball Possession 27%
32 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
399 Passes 124
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
38 Box Touches 8
33 Crosses 3
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Boyaca Chico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios saw off Boyaca Chico 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Millonarios had 73% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 27%, shots finished 32-6, expected goals 2.65 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Millonarios and 0.67 for Boyaca Chico.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Boyaca Chico?

Millonarios 4-2 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Boyaca Chico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 61%, draw 26%, Boyaca Chico 13%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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