Millonarios 3-0 Boyaca Chico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +3%
1.32/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.31
-8% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -28%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 73%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
20.8 Crosses 12.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Boyaca Chico
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.71 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 Passes 331
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
12.06.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 2-1 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
28.05.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
14.05.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
05.03.2021 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-1 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
16.02.2020 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
3-0
AWAY Boyaca Chico
0.79 xG 0.43
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
304 Passes 347
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Boyaca Chico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios ran out comfortable winners over Boyaca Chico 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Millonarios had 48% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 52%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 0.79 to 0.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Millonarios and 0.83 for Boyaca Chico.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Boyaca Chico?

Millonarios 3-0 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Boyaca Chico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 56%, draw 24%, Boyaca Chico 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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