Atletico Nacional 2-3 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 May 2025

Atletico Nacional
2-3 HT 0-2
Junior
📅26/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Atletico Nacional vs Junior Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Nacional v Junior — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.56/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.16
+26% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
17.4 Crosses 12.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9

Atletico Nacional vs Junior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Junior
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.73 xG 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
241 Passes 332
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-3 Junior Junior KOL
03.03.2024 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
18.09.2023 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
11.04.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
19.08.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOLK
29.07.2022 Junior Junior 3-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK

Atletico Nacional 2-3 Junior — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
2-3
AWAY Junior
1.91 xG 1.07
68% Ball Possession 32%
26 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
370 Passes 147
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
39 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior nicked a narrow win over Atletico Nacional 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Atletico Nacional carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Nacional had 68% of the ball to Junior's 32%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 1.91 to 1.07 — on chances, Atletico Nacional could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.50 for Junior.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Junior?

Atletico Nacional 2-3 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 26/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 55%, draw 26%, Junior 19%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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