Atletico Nacional 0-3 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 27 Sep 2024

Atletico Nacional
0-3
Junior
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Atletico Nacional vs Junior Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.67
Over 2.5
36%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
55%
-7.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.6pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Nacional v Junior — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.35/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.11
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
18.4 Crosses 13.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1

Atletico Nacional vs Junior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Junior
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.68 xG 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
238 Passes 357
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
18.09.2023 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
11.04.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 0-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
19.08.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOLK
29.07.2022 Junior Junior 3-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
14.07.2022 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 2-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL

Atletico Nacional 0-3 Junior — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
0-3
AWAY Junior
0.68 xG 0.18
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
192 Passes 150
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 5
15 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior ran out comfortable winners over Atletico Nacional 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Nacional at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Nacional had 55% of the ball to Junior's 45%, shots finished 8-5, expected goals 0.68 to 0.18 — on chances, Atletico Nacional could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.50 for Junior.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Junior?

Atletico Nacional 0-3 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 47%, draw 30%, Junior 23%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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