Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Fe v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
3-1
HT 3-0
Santa Fe
KOL
4-0
HT 2-0
Santa Fe
KOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Santa Fe 2-0 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe got the better of Alianza Petrolera 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.
On the day, Santa Fe had 55% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 45%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 1.12 to 0.39.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Santa Fe and 1.67 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera?
Santa Fe 2-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 54%, draw 29%, Alianza Petrolera 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.