America de Cali 1-0 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.44/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.23
+8% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
16.2 Crosses 12.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.46 xG 1.22
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
314 Passes 304
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.04.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-4 HT 1-3 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.12.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 2-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
13.11.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-2 HT 1-2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
14.08.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-3 HT 0-2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
13.06.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
29.05.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-0
AWAY Independiente Medellin
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
238 Passes 256
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali nicked a narrow win over Independiente Medellin 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, America de Cali had 48% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 52%, shots finished 8-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for America de Cali and 1.33 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin?

America de Cali 1-0 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 43%, draw 28%, Independiente Medellin 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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