Independiente Medellin 1-1 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.4pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -25%
1.15/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.14
-6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
17.8 Crosses 13.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Medellin
3W-0D-3L
AWAY America de Cali
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 1.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
252 Passes 318
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.05.2025 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
15.10.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
01.04.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-4 HT 1-3 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.12.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 2-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
13.11.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-2 HT 1-2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
14.08.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 1-3 HT 0-2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Medellin
1-1
AWAY America de Cali
1.53 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 1
267 Passes 235
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin and America de Cali shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Medellin at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Independiente Medellin had 54% of the ball to America de Cali's 46%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.53 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.67 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali?

Independiente Medellin 1-1 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 47%, draw 28%, America de Cali 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente Medellin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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