Junior 1-1 Deportes Tolima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
54%
-13.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
20%
+12.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.41/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.10
+12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 75%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
17.6 Crosses 13.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 1.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
299 Passes 356
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
05.12.2024 Junior Junior 3-2 HT 2-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
25.11.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
25.08.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-1 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
19.02.2024 Junior Junior 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
07.12.2023 Junior Junior 4-2 HT 3-2 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
1-1
AWAY Deportes Tolima
1.71 xG 0.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
318 Passes 278
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 5
24 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Junior vs Deportes Tolima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior and Deportes Tolima shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Junior had 52% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 48%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.71 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Junior and 1.00 for Deportes Tolima.

What was the final score of Junior vs Deportes Tolima?

Junior 1-1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Deportes Tolima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Junior 40%, draw 28%, Deportes Tolima 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Junior), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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