Valerenga vs Stromsgodset Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valerenga v Stromsgodset — Team-Based Signals
Valerenga vs Stromsgodset Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Valerenga
NOR
0-1
HT 0-0
Stromsgodset
NOR
4-0
HT 4-0
Stromsgodset
NOR
3-2
HT 3-0
Valerenga
NOR
Valerenga 2-1 Stromsgodset — Actual Match Statistics
Valerenga nicked a narrow win over Stromsgodset 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
On the day, Valerenga had 68% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 32%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.69 to 0.76 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Valerenga's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Valerenga and 1.00 for Stromsgodset.
What was the final score of Valerenga vs Stromsgodset?
Valerenga 2-1 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Stromsgodset?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 59%, draw 19%, Stromsgodset 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.