Haugesund 2-3 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 26 Oct 2025

Haugesund
2-3 HT 2-2
Tromsö
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Haugesund vs Tromsö Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.18
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
68%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.54
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
13%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
16.25
1/2
4%
25.5
1/X
3%
24.45
X/1
5%
17.4
X/2 EV+ ✓
27%
3.65
X/X
13%
6.37
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
38%
1.59
2/X
3%
20.8
Value flag · X/2 at 3.65 — our 27% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
11%
+1.6pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.5pp
68%
Away Win
70%
-2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.9pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haugesund v Tromsö — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haugesund EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 75%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.88/2.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.64
-21% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +57%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
241 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 80%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.9 Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Haugesund vs Tromsö Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haugesund
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tromsö
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 1.46
49% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
406 Passes 436
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.03.2025 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 1-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
10.11.2024 Haugesund Haugesund 2-0 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
14.04.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 0-1 HT 0-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
26.11.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 2-1 HT 1-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
29.05.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 1-2 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
04.09.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 2-1 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR

Haugesund 2-3 Tromsö — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haugesund
2-3
AWAY Tromsö
0.97 xG 2.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
374 Passes 377
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Haugesund vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö nicked a narrow win over Haugesund 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Haugesund had 50% of the ball to Tromsö's 50%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.97 to 2.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tromsö's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Haugesund and 1.00 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Haugesund vs Tromsö?

Haugesund 2-3 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haugesund vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Haugesund 12%, draw 19%, Tromsö 68%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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