FCSB 4-0 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
-0.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCSB EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.76/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.49
-2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 73%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.0 Crosses 13.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FCSB
3W-1D-2L
AWAY UTA Arad
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.71 xG 0.91
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
426 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.01.2025 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
01.09.2024 FCSB FCSB 2-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
22.01.2024 FCSB FCSB 4-0 HT 2-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
28.08.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-1 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
05.03.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 3-1 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROM
19.10.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-2 HT 1-1 FCSB FCSB ROMK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FCSB
4-0
AWAY UTA Arad
4.18 xG 0.63
68% Ball Possession 32%
26 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
526 Passes 200
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
38 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FCSB vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB swept aside UTA Arad 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FCSB had 68% of the ball to UTA Arad's 32%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 4.18 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FCSB had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FCSB and 1.17 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of FCSB vs UTA Arad?

FCSB 4-0 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCSB vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split FCSB 59%, draw 23%, UTA Arad 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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