Erbaaspor 4-3 Bucaspor 1928 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.1pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +74%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
457 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbaaspor
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 3-2 HT 1-1 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor T2L-K
01.09.2024 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor 1-2 HT 0-0 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 T2L-K
POST-MATCH Erbaaspor vs Bucaspor 1928
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbaaspor edged past Bucaspor 1928 4-3. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Erbaaspor as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bucaspor 1928 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Erbaaspor and 2.50 for Bucaspor 1928.

What was the final score of Erbaaspor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Erbaaspor 4-3 Bucaspor 1928 in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbaaspor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbaaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Erbaaspor 60%, draw 22%, Bucaspor 1928 18%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbaaspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erbaaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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