Burnley vs Coventry Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burnley v Coventry — Team-Based Signals
Burnley vs Coventry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Coventry
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-1
Burnley
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-0
Coventry
İNCL
1-2
HT 0-0
Burnley
İNCL
2-2
HT 1-0
Coventry
İNCL
1-0
HT 0-0
Burnley
İNCL
Burnley 2-0 Coventry — Actual Match Statistics
Burnley got the better of Coventry 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Burnley as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Burnley had 53% of the ball to Coventry's 47%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 0.97 to 0.11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Burnley and 0.83 for Coventry.
What was the final score of Burnley vs Coventry?
Burnley 2-0 Coventry in the England - Championship on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burnley vs Coventry?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Burnley 42%, draw 28%, Coventry 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burnley), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.