Norwich City 6-1 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Nov 2024

Norwich City
6-1 HT 2-1
Plymouth Argyle
📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Norwich City vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
59%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.48 — our 23% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.77
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.7
X/1
18%
3.73
X/2
5%
13.75
X/X
10%
6.61
2/1
14%
21.7
2/2
9%
10.45
2/X
6%
18.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Norwich City win — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-6.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Norwich City v Plymouth Argyle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.82/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.65
+10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
22.0 Crosses 10.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Norwich City vs Plymouth Argyle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.20 xG 1.20
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
518 Passes 210
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
29 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 7
The Meetings
29.03.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 2-1 HT 0-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
23.09.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 6-2 HT 4-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
14.03.2009 Norwich City Norwich City 1-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
13.09.2008 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-2 HT 0-1 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
04.12.2007 Norwich City Norwich City 2-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
10.11.2007 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-0 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL

Norwich City 6-1 Plymouth Argyle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
6-1
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
3.09 xG 0.62
73% Ball Possession 27%
19 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
665 Passes 205
91% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City ran out comfortable winners over Plymouth Argyle 6-1. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Norwich City as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Norwich City had 73% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 27%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 3.09 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norwich City had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Norwich City and 2.00 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Norwich City 6-1 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norwich City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 59%, draw 23%, Plymouth Argyle 19%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norwich City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Norwich City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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