Sheffield United 3-0 Oxford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No OUR CALL
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 29% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.78
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.95
X/1
20%
3.52
X/2
8%
14.25
X/X
10%
5.86
2/1
9%
24.7
2/2
7%
12.0
2/X
6%
20.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.8pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Oxford United EU Bookmakers 17%
+2% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.71/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.72
-9% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
378 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 69%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.5 Crosses 9.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Oxford United
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
07.03.2017 Oxford United Oxford United 2-3 HT 1-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İN1
27.08.2016 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-1 HT 0-1 Oxford United Oxford United İN1
05.01.2013 Oxford United Oxford United 0-3 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United FAK
12.11.2011 Sheffield United Sheffield United 3-0 HT 2-0 Oxford United Oxford United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
3-0
AWAY Oxford United
3.56 xG 0.26
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
715 Passes 303
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 7
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Oxford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield United ran out comfortable winners over Oxford United 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sheffield United as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Sheffield United had 67% of the ball to Oxford United's 33%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 3.56 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sheffield United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Sheffield United and 0.75 for Oxford United.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Oxford United?

Sheffield United 3-0 Oxford United in the England - Championship on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Oxford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 57%, draw 23%, Oxford United 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sheffield United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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