SSC Giugliano 2-4 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.85
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+7.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
44%
-9.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Giugliano
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Avellino
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2024 Avellino Avellino 1-1 HT 0-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
23.03.2024 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 3-2 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
19.11.2023 Avellino Avellino 1-3 HT 1-1 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
15.03.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 2-4 HT 1-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
13.11.2022 Avellino Avellino 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
2-4
AWAY Avellino
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino got the better of SSC Giugliano 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Avellino made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 53% of the ball to Avellino's 47%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, SSC Giugliano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for SSC Giugliano and 1.60 for Avellino.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Avellino?

SSC Giugliano 2-4 Avellino in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Giugliano win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 37%, draw 29%, Avellino 34%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SSC Giugliano), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SSC Giugliano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTCK More Italy - Pro League Cup
26 Nov 2024
00:00 Catania vs Trapani 1905 Analysis →
16:30 Rossoblu Potenza vs Team Altamura Analysis →