Mumbai City 0-3 Punjab FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.97
6+ Goals
8%
17.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Punjab FC EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.84/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.16
+6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
17.8 Crosses 13.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mumbai City
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Punjab FC
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.15 xG 0.88
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
443 Passes 190
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
31 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.03.2024 Punjab FC Punjab FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
16.01.2024 Mumbai City Mumbai City 3-2 Punjab FC Punjab FC HINSK
02.11.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 2-1 HT 0-1 Punjab FC Punjab FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mumbai City
0-3
AWAY Punjab FC
1.70 xG 1.23
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
421 Passes 220
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 9
32 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mumbai City vs Punjab FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Punjab FC swept aside Mumbai City 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mumbai City at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Mumbai City had 64% of the ball to Punjab FC's 36%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.70 to 1.23 — on chances, Mumbai City could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mumbai City had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Mumbai City and 1.67 for Punjab FC.

What was the final score of Mumbai City vs Punjab FC?

Mumbai City 0-3 Punjab FC in the India - Super League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mumbai City vs Punjab FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mumbai City 47%, draw 26%, Punjab FC 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Mumbai City), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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