Basel U19 1-2 Rapid Wien U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.55
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
16%
5.71
X/2
9%
5.77
X/X
16%
5.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
26.0
2/2
12%
3.6
2/X
4%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel U19 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien U19 EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel U19
1-2
AWAY Rapid Wien U19
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Basel U19 vs Rapid Wien U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien U19 squeezed past Basel U19 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Basel U19 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Basel U19 had 48% of the ball to Rapid Wien U19's 52%, shots finished 10-18.

What was the final score of Basel U19 vs Rapid Wien U19?

Basel U19 1-2 Rapid Wien U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel U19 vs Rapid Wien U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Basel U19 44%, draw 28%, Rapid Wien U19 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basel U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basel U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UEGL More UEFA - Youth League
26 Nov 2024
15:00 Slovan Bratislava U19 vs Milan U19 Analysis →
15:00 Sparta Prag U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19 Analysis →
16:00 Sporting CP U19 vs Arsenal U19 Analysis →
16:00 Young Boys U19 vs Atalanta U19 Analysis →
16:00 Leverkusen U19 vs Salzburg U19 Analysis →
16:30 Inter U19 vs RB Leipzig U19 Analysis →