Portimonense U23 0-2 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 26 Nov 2025

📅26/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.9pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.6pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/2.33
-34% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Estrela U23
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
27.08.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 2-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
22.10.2024 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 4-2 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
07.08.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 UŞGB
26.09.2023 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
0-2
AWAY Estrela U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela U23 beat Portimonense U23 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Portimonense U23 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 55% of the ball to Estrela U23's 45%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Estrela U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Portimonense U23 and 1.50 for Estrela U23.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Estrela U23?

Portimonense U23 0-2 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 26/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 49%, draw 21%, Estrela U23 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
26 Nov 2025
15:00 Santa Clara U23 vs Farense U23 Analysis →