Coventry vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Coventry v Plymouth Argyle — Team-Based Signals
Coventry vs Plymouth Argyle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Plymouth Argyle
İNCL
2-1
HT 0-0
Coventry
İN1
1-0
HT 1-0
Plymouth Argyle
İN1
2-0
HT 0-0
Plymouth Argyle
İNTK
1-1
HT 0-1
Plymouth Argyle
İNCL
Coventry 4-0 Plymouth Argyle — Actual Match Statistics
Coventry cruised past Plymouth Argyle 4-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Coventry as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Coventry had 65% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 35%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.05 to 0.25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Coventry and 0.83 for Plymouth Argyle.
What was the final score of Coventry vs Plymouth Argyle?
Coventry 4-0 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Championship on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Coventry vs Plymouth Argyle?
Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Coventry 59%, draw 23%, Plymouth Argyle 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.