Blackburn Rovers 2-2 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
18.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.29
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
11%
5.87
X/2
10%
5.14
X/X
14%
4.23
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
18%
3.56
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackburn Rovers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.29/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.97
+12% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +55%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
16.0 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackburn Rovers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sunderland
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.97 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
336 Passes 362
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2024 Sunderland Sunderland 1-5 HT 0-2 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
20.09.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 1-3 HT 1-2 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
26.12.2022 Sunderland Sunderland 2-1 HT 1-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
18.10.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
20.03.2012 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNP
11.12.2011 Sunderland Sunderland 2-1 HT 0-1 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackburn Rovers
2-2
AWAY Sunderland
1.79 xG 1.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 Passes 279
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Blackburn Rovers vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers and Sunderland couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Blackburn Rovers had 57% of the ball to Sunderland's 43%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.79 to 1.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Blackburn Rovers and 1.33 for Sunderland.

What was the final score of Blackburn Rovers vs Sunderland?

Blackburn Rovers 2-2 Sunderland in the England - Championship on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackburn Rovers vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackburn Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Blackburn Rovers 36%, draw 28%, Sunderland 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Blackburn Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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